Oh dear, I do seem to have touched a raw nerve. It is worth going back to the initial post of this thread, where I merely reported on DPReview's obervations about the current state of m4/3 systems, having nominated the snappily named OM-D E-M1 as its camera of the year. I then added my own views about the merits of electronic and optical viewfinders, being a user of both.
To be clear, cameras are merely tools and just about any modern digital model will produce good results that can be printed up to A3 or A2 size, which is as much as most will ever need. Heck, some people are even doing well with film. Equipment choice is mainly down to personal preference and budget.
That all said, the manufacturers do have a problem. We are not buying enough of their products. The heady days of a few years ago when digital technology was changing quickly are over. Back then, a new camera brought significant benefits and upgrading was usually a no brainer. These days, there is little to differentiate newer models which has resulted in sales falling year on year and over supply. The main incumbents are Canon and Nikon, which between them sell the vast majority of cameras, with both depending mainly on DSLR sales. Their threats come from newcomers such as Samsung and Sony which know that they cannot compete in DSLR territory, so are looking for new types of products to disrupt the market in the same way that digital caused a switch from film.
Both Canon and Nikon know that in time they will need to respond if they are to maintain their market lead. The problem is more acute for Nikon as it is solely a manufacturer of optical goods and unlike its competitors does not have other product lines to fall back on when times are hard. The trick for both companies is to do this without jeopardising sales of their existing products, i.e. DSLRs. Nikon tried to do this by introducing its 1 series of cameras which it thought might appeal tho those upgrading from mobile phones and digital compacts. It might have had more success had it priced the cameras more keenly, but they are too expensive compared to DSLRs with their bigger sensors. Then soon after launch Nikon compounded the problem by selling off surplus older models at a substantial discount, which had the unfortunate effects of not only upsetting early adopters but also cheapening the brand.
The upshot is that all the manufacturers need to do something to persuade us to start buying their cameras again, which they will probably do by introducing new technology and reducing manufacturing costs. This could well mean new systems, albeit with upgrade paths from existing ones to ensure continuing lock in of committed purchasers. What this new technology will be is anyone's guess, although improved EVFs seem set to feature heavily and I would not be surprised if there are improved sensors as well. The days of Bayer could be coming to an end.
davidc wrote:
I'm not sure you can count Canon only introducing one new lens this year as a sign the SLR is on it's way out, nor Nikon - rather if you take a look at their history of only introducing a couple of lenses a year AND having already produced a colossal catalogue there aren't many (any?) new focal lengths, zoom ranges or designs to go for. They have already done them, and in that respect proven they are committed to continue to produce & support their offerings (across film and digital indeed, which shows how good they are at planning and being consistent).
Many of Canon's lens designs date back to the early 90s and would benefit from an update to newer technology. Some have been updated recently, but one perennial model consistently commented on as requiring an update is the 100-400 dust sucker. It's a good lens, but has mechanical issues and an old fashioned trombone design. I doubt if Canon is ever going to replace it. If Canon wants to keep its lens designers occupied updating current systems, there is plenty of scope. That it does not seem to be so doing could well mean that it is utilising its resources elsewhere.
davidc wrote:While the smaller form factor of m43 and CSCs in general certainly have appeal and merits of their own, I always think it's prudent to be wary about "bandwagonning" so early in the lifetime of a product. Cases in point, APS film was touted as being the next big thing, look what happened. Lytro cameras (smaller even than CSCs) touted as revolutionising photography. Where are they now? (Producing an SLR, actually
)
Who is "bandwaggoning"? I would always advocate caution before buying into any system. With an open system and a number of manufacturers supporting it, m4/3 is currently better placed than any of the opposition in the CSC arena. Indeed, one can argue that with more than one company behind it, it has an unique advantage.
davidc wrote:In a nutshell, I bought the system I have now after looking at all the options - including CSCs - and decided that for a long term, reliable solution it would have everything I could possibly want. If some new game-changer comes along then I'll look at it then but based on the evidence, m43 is not giving me anything new, better or cheaper. The system I've chosen has given me the power to learn and offers the quality and back catalogue for that to continue for a hugely long time. After all, having the kit to take the pictures I want NOW is more important than waiting for kit that theoertically might do it in a possibly better package eventually. Those photographers saying "I'm not buying any more SLR kit" smacks a little of
a) cutting their nose off to spite their face - so you'd rather MISS a ton of shots waiting for that perfect camera?
b) falling into the old trap of the kit being more important than the photographer and their creative vision
You have made a choice about the equipment you use, which is your perogative. There is never a perfect time to buy anything as there will always be something better a year or two down the line. The important thing is to make an informed choice depending on what is available at the time you decide to buy. DSLRs are not going away tomorrow, but I expect the scene to look much different in four or five years from now. Don't forget that it is not just DPReview naming the E-M1 as their camera of the year, so m4/3 is already becoming well established.
davidc wrote:Turning this a bit more personal, if you (Mike) are not getting any more SLR kit (which I thought I saw you post somewhere), what is it about the new kit that you think will make you a better photographer or let you achieve that you cannot do using the system you have already invested in.
I might have mentioned not looking to acquire a lot of new kit in conversation, but it is less likely (although not impossible) that I would have made such a statement on the forum. My purchases are always predicated on whether new kit will produce better results or increase the opportunities for me to take photographs. One reason for not buying a lot of new DSLR gear is that what I have pretty much meets my needs at present.
Interestingly, Canon seems to agree with me on this point. My 7D, bought in 2010, has a sensor which over the past four has been used in a number of different models with only minor alterations. According to DxOMark, the new sensor in the 70D performs very similarly and the main change seems to be on sensor AF. In its current incarnation, that only makes sense for shooting video or using live view, but would seem more suited for a camera with an EVF. Canon is simply not giving me any reason to upgrade. There is a similar position with its pro models, with many 1Ds Mk III owners viewing the 1Dx more as 1D IV upgrade to full frame than a camera to which they aspire.
davidc wrote:I've not really touched on the physics side of things whereby the bigger your sensor and optics the more light you can capture and the better quality image you can ultimately produce. Small is good for carrying, large is better for quality; it's the very nature of light. Software can correct some flaws but not all. It's the reason why all the telescopes worldwide aren't m43 sized
Considering that the weight/size difference isn't that great between the two systems - both are man portable! - I fail to see why one would want to unproven, constantly changing, flavour of the month, scientifically sub-optimal technology.
Agreed that sensor size will have an impact on things such as DOF, but the difference in image quality between sensor sizes is not as great as you seem to think and has not been for some years (see my previous post). I am far from alone in wanting to carry a lighter bag when I am out and about, neither do I have any complaints about the results I get from more compact equipment. DSLRs are big due to optical design compromises and 35 mm film legacy considerations. These days it simply is not necessary to carry all that weight.
davidc wrote:This is my trophy - I have won.
This an obsolete style of trophy and a new improved version will be along shortly.